74% of American Jews Plan to Vote for Democrats for Congress in 2018
A new poll finds that 75 percent of American Jews disapprove of President Donald Trump, and that 74 percent plan to vote for Democratic candidates for Congress this fall. The survey was conducted by the Mellman Group on behalf of the Jewish Electoral Institute (JEI). The poll of 800 American Jewish voters confirms that American Jews remain firmly within the Democratic fold.
JEI is a non-partisan 501(c)(3) organization focused on deepening public’s understanding of the American Jewish electorate. This new organization is providing the public with information regarding the American Jewish electorate and leading a national, nonpartisan Get Out The Jewish Vote effort.
These attitudes are further reflected in partisan and ideological affiliations of American Jewish voters. Sixty-eight percent of respondents identify as Democrats, while only 25 percent identify as Republicans. Sixty-four percent describe themselves as liberals, while only 29 percent describe themselves as political conservatives.
American Jews are particularly negative in their perception of President Trump’s handling of health care, the environment, gun safety, immigration, the Supreme Court and taxes. The poll also finds widespread disapproval with Trump’s handling of the Iranian nuclear deal, anti-Semitism, moving the U.S. Embassy in Israel, the U.S. relationship with Palestinians and U.S. foreign policy overall.
When deciding which candidates to support in the midterms, “very important” issues for American Jewish voters are as follows: “the kind of Supreme Court Justices the candidate will support” (90 percent), “protecting Medicare and Social Security” (84 percent), and “making quality affordable healthcare available to every American (83 percent). While a significant number of Jewish voters (52 percent) say that a candidate’s support for Israel is “very important,” it is one of many issues of importance weighed by American Jewish voters when deciding which candidate to support.
On the topic of Israel, the poll finds that an overwhelming majority of American Jews support Israel, but also are critical of at least some of the Israeli government’s policies. Ninety-two percent of respondents identify as “generally pro-Israel,” but 59 percent of respondents also express some disagreement with the current government’s policies.
While Jewish voters are split almost evenly on how they respond to the way President Trump is handling U.S.-Israel relations, few are willing to support him on that alone. Only 6 percent say Trump’s Israel policy will cause them to consider voting for him despite disagreements on other important issues. Another 20 percent say they support Trump’s policy on Israel, but “disagree with him on too many other important issues.” In total, 71 percent say they will not consider voting for Trump in 2020.
American Jews also see Democrats as a pro-Israel party. Nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of Jewish voters believe the Democratic Party is “pro-Israel,” including 84 percent of those who identify themselves as Democrats.
The poll was conducted online between Oct. 2-11 and selected for likely American Jewish voters. 93 percent of those polled indicated they are “almost certain” to vote in November. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percent.
The polling memo can be read here.